Effective Altruism
How bad would it be if GPS satellites were shot down?
Losing GPS isn't an X-risk, but would create a huge disaster on the scale of Covid-19 or bigger.
Giving up on EA after 13 years
After 13 years, I have realized that EA was Electronic Arts stock and videogames all along, not effective altruism. (An April Fools post.)
Human Empowerment versus the Longtermist Imperium?
A look at longtermism's critics and what a genuinely human-empowering alternative to a totalizing longtermist imperium might look like.
New Cause Area: Low-Hanging Fruit
A new cause area proposal: instead of chasing ambitious, hard-to-fund interventions, why not just pick up the low-hanging fruit lying around everywhere. (An April Fools post.)
Answers to the Contest Prompts
Our team's full answers to the FLI worldbuilding contest's 13 questions about how the world of 2045 works: AI safety, governance, economics, and daily life.
Longtermism in 1888: fermi estimate of Heaven's size
A letter from my great-great grandfather that reads more like a Ted Chiang sci-fi.
Short Story: The Toba Supervolcanic Eruption
A story about humanity's perilous past and uncertain future.
Existential Risk, Anthropics, & Peter Thiel's Investment Thesis
I analyze the investment strategy Thiel describes in 'The Optimistic Thought Experiment'.
Nuclear Strategy in a Semi-Vulnerable World
What if all you needed for a nuke was the raw uranium?