Forecasting
We’re not ready for the e/Acc × Longevity preference cascade
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If AI starts delivering real medical breakthroughs, anti-aging sentiment could go mainstream overnight -- and by default all that energy gets channeled into AI accelerationism.
How bad would it be if GPS satellites were shot down?
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Losing GPS isn't an X-risk, but would create a huge disaster on the scale of Covid-19 or bigger.
Timeline: 2023 - 2045
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A year-by-year future history from our FLI worldbuilding contest entry: from AI-assisted local governance to the Flash Crash War, the Delhi Accords, and the Alignment Project.
Nuclear Strategy in a Semi-Vulnerable World
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What if all you needed for a nuke was the raw uranium?